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Republic Services Inc - RSG Stock Forecast

Last 6 & 12 Months Return on Investment: 17.24% & 29.54%

Current Price: | Industry: Commercial Services & Supplies | Market Cap: $58.7B | Next Earnings Release: 29 Jul 2024
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Institutional Analysts' Forecast

4 out of 5 rating

Moderate Buy

Based on 24 Institutional Analyst Ratings where 7% are on Strong Buy, 20.83% on Moderate Buy, 50.00% on Hold, 0.00% on Sell and 0.00% on Strong Sell.

What is Analyst Rating & Why is it important?

An analyst rating is an assessment provided by financial analysts regarding the future performance of a stock or a security. These ratings are based on research conducted by financial experts who analyze the financials, market conditions, and potential risks associated with the company. Common ratings include "Buy," "Hold," "Sell," along with variations like "Strong Buy" or "Strong Sell." Some firms use numerical scales or other terminologies like "Outperform," "Market Perform," "Underperform," etc.

Why is Analyst Rating Important?

Investment Guidance: Analyst ratings provide investors with guidance on the potential performance of a stock relative to market conditions and future earnings expectations. These ratings can influence investment decisions by suggesting whether to buy, hold, or sell a stock.

Expert Insights: Since ratings are based on detailed analyses by financial experts who have deep knowledge of industry trends, market dynamics, and company fundamentals, they offer valuable insights that might not be readily apparent to the general public.

Market Sentiment: Analyst ratings can impact market sentiment and influence the market price of a stock. For example, a series of upgraded ratings can lead to increased investor interest and a rise in the stock’s price.

Performance Benchmarks: They help investors gauge a stock’s potential performance against its peers or the broader market. Analysts often compare companies within the same industry to determine which are likely to outperform.

Risk Assessment: Ratings can signal the level of risk associated with an investment. Higher-risk stocks might be rated as "Sell" due to unstable financials or poor growth prospects, while lower-risk stocks with stable earnings could receive a "Buy" or "Strong Buy" rating.

Analyst ratings, while useful, should not be the sole factor in making investment decisions. They represent opinions and can be subject to biases or based on outdated information if market conditions change rapidly. Therefore, they should be considered alongside other fundamental and technical analyses and aligned with personal financial goals and risk tolerance.

RSG Price Target & Predictions

HighMedianLow
$241.50$206.55$193.92

Price Target: $209.61

Based on 19 Analysts price targets, RSG's price prediction is High: $241.50, Median: 206.55, Low: $193.92, which makes the average price target to be $209.61.

What is Analyst Price Target & Why is it important?

An analysts' price target is a projection of the future price level of a stock as forecasted by financial analysts. This target is based on assumptions about the company's future business performance and is typically set within a specific time frame, such as 12 or 18 months. Price targets are derived from detailed analyses including earnings forecasts, market trends, competitive landscape, and macroeconomic conditions.

Why is Analysts' Price Target Important?

Investment Decisions: Price targets provide investors with an expectation of what a stock could be worth in the future, guiding buy, sell, or hold decisions. A stock trading below its target price may be seen as undervalued, potentially representing a buying opportunity.

Benchmarking Expectations: They serve as a benchmark for measuring the performance of a stock against market expectations. Investors and analysts use these targets to assess whether a stock is performing as expected when reviewed periodically.

Market Sentiment: Adjustments to price targets and changes in the number of analysts covering a stock can influence market sentiment and impact stock prices. An increase in a price target can boost investor confidence, while a decrease can lead to a sell-off.

Evaluating Analyst Sentiment: Price targets reflect the collective sentiment of the analyst community regarding a stock. Multiple analysts raising their price targets might indicate bullish sentiment, whereas cuts in price targets could suggest bearish views.

Risk Management: Understanding where analysts believe a stock price will go can help investors manage risk by setting expectations for potential gains or losses. This can be crucial in portfolio management and risk assessment strategies.

While analysts' price targets can offer valuable insights, they should not be used in isolation. These targets are based on projections that may or may not come to fruition due to changing market conditions or unforeseen company developments. Therefore, they should be considered as part of a broader investment analysis.

Insider Sentiment

Very Negative

Insider Sentiment is based on Insider Transactions. Insider sentiment gives investors a glimpse at what the executives are thinking about the stock price and valuation in the near future.

What is Insider Sentiment & Why is it important?

Insider sentiment refers to the general outlook or attitude of a company's insiders—such as executives, directors, and large shareholders—towards the future prospects of the company, as inferred from their trading activities in the company's stocks. This sentiment is often analyzed through the transactions reported by insiders, such as buys, sells, and option exercises.

Why is Insider Sentiment Important?

Indication of Confidence: Insider trading activity can serve as an indicator of insiders' confidence in the company's future. For example, a high volume of insider buying might suggest that insiders believe the stock is undervalued or that strong future performance is anticipated.

Additional Data Point for Investors: Investors often look at insider sentiment as one of many factors in their decision-making process. Positive insider sentiment, indicated by purchases, might encourage investors to also buy shares.

Early Warning System: Significant selling by insiders may raise a red flag for potential investors and could indicate underlying problems within the company that have not yet become public.

Alignment of Interests: Tracking whether insiders are buying or selling can help ensure that the interests of the executives and directors are aligned with those of the shareholders. If insiders hold a substantial amount of stock, they are likely to act in the best interests of the company.

Regulatory Compliance: Monitoring insider transactions is also important for regulatory reasons. It ensures transparency and fairness in the market, preventing illegal practices such as insider trading based on non-public information.

Despite its benefits, insider sentiment should not be the sole factor considered by investors. Insider trading data can be misinterpreted, and insiders might buy or sell stocks for reasons unrelated to company performance, such as personal financial needs. Therefore, it should be considered alongside other fundamental and technical analysis tools.

Insider Transactions

Filing Date: 2024-05-15

Change: 79

Name: Volpe Sandra M

Transaction Price: 187.38

Share: 179

Source: sec

Transaction Code: P

Transaction Date: 2024-05-15

Filing Date: 2024-05-07

Change: -6500

Name: Hodges Amanda

Transaction Price: 186.02

Share: 6831

Source: sec

Transaction Code: S

Transaction Date: 2024-05-06

Filing Date: 2024-05-02

Change: -1819

Name: TYLER BRIAN S.

Transaction Price: 0

Share: 0

Source: sec

Transaction Code: M

Transaction Date: 2024-04-30

Filing Date: 2024-05-02

Change: 1819

Name: TYLER BRIAN S.

Transaction Price: 0

Share: 1819

Source: sec

Transaction Code: G

Transaction Date: 2024-04-30

What are Insider Transactions & Why are they important?

Insider transactions refer to the buying, selling, or other forms of trading of a company's stocks by its insiders—executives, directors, and other stakeholders who have unique access to the company’s confidential information. These transactions are required to be reported to regulatory authorities such as the SEC in the United States to ensure transparency and prevent insider trading based on non-public, material information.

Why are Insider Transactions Important?

Indicator of Corporate Health: Insider transactions are often viewed as a barometer for a company’s health and future prospects. For example, a high volume of insider buying might indicate that insiders believe the stock is undervalued or that positive developments are on the horizon.

Market Confidence: Investors may interpret active insider buying as a positive sign that those with the closest knowledge of the company are confident in its future. This can boost overall market confidence in the stock.

Risk Management: Conversely, significant insider selling, unless for well-disclosed reasons such as personal financial management, could signal potential internal issues or a perceived peak in the company’s valuation.

Regulatory Compliance: Monitoring insider transactions helps ensure compliance with securities laws and regulations designed to prevent illegal insider trading. It provides a level playing field for all investors and upholds market integrity.

Investment Strategy: Some investors use insider transaction patterns as part of their strategy, under the assumption that insiders might have better insights into the company’s future than ordinary investors. Following these patterns, however, should be done cautiously and as part of a broader investment analysis.

While insider transactions provide valuable insights, they need careful interpretation and should not be the sole basis for investment decisions. It’s crucial for investors to consider wider financial contexts and market conditions when evaluating the significance of insider behaviors.

RSG's Earnings/EPS Forecast

HighAverageLow
$1.68$1.54$1.32

Earnings Estimate: $1.54

Based on 20 Analysts' estimates for the period 2024-06-30, RSG's estimated EPS is High: $1.68, and Low: $1.32, which makes the average EPS forecast to be $1.54.

What is Earnings Estimate & Why is it important?

An Earnings or EPS (Earnings Per Share) Estimate is a forecast of a company's profitability for a specific period in the future, usually issued by professional financial analysts. This estimate is calculated based on projected company performance, industry trends, economic conditions, and other relevant factors. EPS is particularly significant as it provides a direct insight into a company's profitability on a per-share basis, making it easier for investors to compare profitability across companies and industries.

Why is Earnings/EPS Estimate Important?

Investment Decisions: Earnings estimates are crucial for investors as they form the basis for various investment decisions and valuation models, including the price-earnings ratio, which is a common metric for assessing the value of a stock.

Market Sentiment: Changes in earnings estimates can significantly affect the market price of a stock. For instance, if analysts upwardly revise a company’s earnings estimates, it can lead to an increase in stock price and vice versa.

Company Valuation: Analysts and investors use earnings estimates to gauge a company's future profitability and thus its overall valuation. Higher earnings estimates can raise a company's valuation due to anticipated growth in profits.

Performance Measurement: Earnings estimates serve as a benchmark for measuring a company's performance. If a company consistently beats estimates, it is seen as well managed and financially stable, which can enhance investor confidence.

Risk Assessment: By evaluating the potential deviations from earnings estimates, investors can assess the risk associated with an investment. Large variances between actual earnings and estimates may indicate underlying issues or volatility, impacting investment decisions.

While earnings estimates are a fundamental tool in investment analysis, they are based on forecasts and assumptions that may not always hold true. Therefore, they should be used in conjunction with other financial metrics and qualitative information about the company and industry.

RSG's Revenue Forecast

HighAverageLow
$4263M$4075M$3912M

Revenue Estimate: $4075M

Based on 19 Analysts, RSG's estimated Revenue for the period,2024-06-30, is between a high of $4263M, and a low of $3912M, which makes the average Revenue forecast to be $4075M.

What is Revenue Estimate & Why is it important?

A Revenue Estimate is a projection of how much income a company is expected to generate in a future period. These estimates are typically made by financial analysts and are based on a variety of factors, including past revenue performance, industry trends, market conditions, and the company's own forward guidance. Revenue estimates are a crucial part of financial modeling and are used to assess a company's future financial health.

Why is Revenue Estimate Important?

Financial Planning and Analysis: Revenue estimates are vital for companies to forecast future cash flows and plan budgets effectively. They help management make informed decisions about resource allocation, capital expenditures, and strategic planning.

Investor Expectations: Investors use revenue estimates to gauge a company's potential for growth. Consistently meeting or exceeding revenue estimates can significantly enhance investor confidence, while frequent shortfalls may raise concerns about the company's future prospects.

Market Valuation: Revenue growth is a key indicator of a company's performance and potential. Analysts and investors use revenue estimates to value stocks, with higher growth often leading to higher stock prices.

Comparative Analysis: Comparing actual revenues with estimates can provide insights into how well a company is performing against market expectations. This comparison can influence stock market performance, as it reflects the company's operational efficiency and market demand for its products or services.

Benchmarking: Revenue estimates allow stakeholders to benchmark a company against its peers. By analyzing how companies stack up against each other in terms of expected revenue growth, stakeholders can identify leaders and laggards within an industry.

While revenue estimates are crucial, they should be interpreted with caution. They are based on assumptions that may or may not hold true, and unforeseen factors can significantly impact actual revenues. Thus, they should be considered as part of a broader analysis that includes other financial metrics and market factors.

RSG's EBITDA Forecast/Estimate

HighAverageLow
$1279M$1230M$1101M

EBITDA Estimate: $1230M

Based on 17 Analysts, RSG's EBITDA estimate for the period, 2024-06-30 is between a high of $1279M, and low of $1101M, which makes the average to be $1230M.

What is EBITDA Estimate & Why is it important?

An EBITDA (Earnings Before Interest, Taxes, Depreciation, and Amortization) Estimate is a forecast of a company’s operating performance without the impact of financial accounting decisions. It focuses on the earnings from regular business operations before the effects of capital structure, tax strategies, and non-cash accounting items like depreciation and amortization are considered. EBITDA estimates are developed based on projected business activities, economic conditions, and industry-specific factors affecting the company’s operations.

Why is EBITDA Estimate Important?

Operational Profitability: EBITDA provides investors with insight into a company’s core operational efficiency and its ability to generate profit from business activities. It is particularly useful in comparing the profitability of companies within the same industry.

Cash Flow Analysis: Because it excludes non-cash expenses like depreciation and amortization, EBITDA can serve as a proxy for the cash generated from business operations, helping investors assess the liquidity and financial health of a company.

Investment Comparisons: EBITDA normalizes for differences in capital structure, taxation, and fixed asset investment, allowing for more equitable comparisons across companies and industries. This makes it a valuable tool for investors considering diversification across different sectors.

Valuation Metric: EBITDA is widely used in various valuation methods, including enterprise value multiples and comparative analysis. A higher EBITDA estimate can indicate a higher valuation, making a company potentially more attractive to investors.

Leverage and Financial Risk: EBITDA is a key metric used by credit rating agencies and lenders to evaluate a company's ability to service debt. Higher EBITDA estimates may suggest lower financial risk and better debt management capacity.

While EBITDA offers several insights into the financial stability and efficiency of a company, it should not be used in isolation. Since it does not account for capital expenditures or changes in working capital, it should be complemented with other financial metrics to get a full picture of a company’s financial health.

Earning Surprises

Actual: 1.45

Estimate: 1.3628

Surprise: 0.0872

Surprise (%): 6.3986

Period: 2024-03-31

Actual: 1.41

Estimate: 1.3058

Surprise: 0.1042

Surprise (%): 7.9798

Period: 2023-12-31

Actual: 1.54

Estimate: 1.438

Surprise: 0.102

Surprise (%): 7.0932

Period: 2023-09-30

Actual: 1.41

Estimate: 1.3329

Surprise: 0.0771

Surprise (%): 5.7844

Period: 2023-06-30

Actual: 1.24

Estimate: 1.1376

Surprise: 0.1024

Surprise (%): 9.0014

Period: 2023-03-31

Actual: 1.13

Estimate: 1.0307

Surprise: 0.0993

Surprise (%): 9.6342

Period: 2022-12-31

Actual: 1.34

Estimate: 1.2329

Surprise: 0.1071

Surprise (%): 8.6868

Period: 2022-09-30

Actual: 1.32

Estimate: 1.1928

Surprise: 0.1272

Surprise (%): 10.664

Period: 2022-06-30

What is Earnings/EPS Surprises & Why is it important?

Earnings or EPS (Earnings Per Share) Surprises occur when a company's actual reported earnings differ from analysts' consensus estimates. A positive surprise occurs when actual earnings are higher than estimates, while a negative surprise occurs when they are lower. Analysts use historical data, industry trends, and economic conditions to forecast a company's earnings, and these estimates are closely watched by investors.

Why are Earnings/EPS Surprises Important?

Market Reaction: Earnings surprises can significantly affect a company's stock price immediately after the announcement. Positive surprises often lead to an increase in stock price, while negative surprises can cause a decrease. This immediate impact reflects the market's response to new, substantive information about a company's financial health.

Investor Confidence: Consistent positive earnings surprises can enhance investor confidence and perception of the management's ability to forecast and execute business strategies effectively. Conversely, repeated negative surprises may erode trust and suggest operational or forecasting issues.

Performance Benchmark: Analysts and investors closely monitor earnings surprises as they benchmark a company's performance against market expectations. Surprises can lead to changes in analyst ratings and adjustments in market valuation, influencing subsequent investor behavior.

Future Expectations: Regular earnings surprises, either positive or negative, can lead to revisions in future earnings estimates. This can alter long-term investment perspectives and strategies, as the market recalibrates its expectations based on new performance indicators.

Corporate Strategy Insights: Analyzing the reasons behind earnings surprises can provide insights into a company's operational challenges or advantages. For instance, a positive surprise may indicate more efficient operations or capturing of a larger market share, while a negative surprise might highlight cost management issues or declining sales.

Earnings surprises are a fundamental metric used by investors to gauge a company’s short-term performance relative to market expectations. While important, they should be interpreted in the context of other financial and operational measures to fully understand a company’s overall health and trajectory.

RSG's Financial Metrics

Eps Growth T T M Yoy

18.79

Eps Basic Excl Extra Items T T M

5.693099999999999

Dividend Growth Rate5 Y

7.49

Payout Ratio T T M

36.09

Net Interest Coverage T T M

4.677

Tbv Cagr5 Y

5.14

Pfcf Share Annual

29.545

Eps Normalized Annual

5.4657

Operating Margin T T M

18.98

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What is the industry classification of Republic Services Inc?

Republic Services Inc operates within the Commercial Services & Supplies sector. This classification helps investors understand the market segment the company competes in and its economic dynamics.

What is the current market capitalization of Republic Services Inc?

As of the latest update, Republic Services Inc's market capitalization is approximately $ 58.7B. Market capitalization reflects the total market value of a company's outstanding shares and gives an insight into the company's size and investment potential.

How has Republic Services Inc's stock performed over the last six months?

Republic Services Inc's stock has seen a return of 17.24% over the past six months. This performance metric is crucial for assessing the stock’s past trajectory and potential future trends.

What recent insider trading activity has been reported for Republic Services Inc?

Insiders of Republic Services Inc, such as executives and directors, have conducted several transactions recently. For example, Volpe Sandra M sold/bought 179 shares at a price of $187.38 per share on 2024-05-15. Monitoring insider transactions can provide clues about the internal sentiment towards the company’s future.

How do analysts currently rate Republic Services Inc's stock?

Currently, Republic Services Inc has received 5 "Buy" ratings, 0 "Sell" ratings, and 12 "Hold" ratings from analysts. Additionally, there are 7 "Strong Buy" recommendations. These ratings can help investors gauge market sentiment and future stock performance expectations.

What is the dividend yield of Republic Services Inc?

Republic Services Inc currently offers a dividend yield of1.15%, with an annual payout of $ 2.02 per share. Dividend yield is a significant factor for income-focused investors.

What does the financial health of Republic Services Inc look like based on recent data?

Republic Services Inc has demonstrated financial robustness with an EPS (Earnings Per Share) growth rate of 11.57% over the last five years, a return on equity (ROE) of 16.42%, and an operating margin of 18.98%. These indicators are crucial for assessing the company's profitability and operational efficiency.

What are the latest earnings surprises from Republic Services Inc?

In its most recent quarter, Republic Services Inc reported an actual EPS of $ 1.45, which was a surprise of 6.3986% above/below the consensus estimate of $ 1.3628. Earnings surprises can influence the stock price significantly in the short term.

Where can I find more detailed financial information about Republic Services Inc?

For detailed financial data and historical performance metrics, investors are advised to refer to Republic Services Inc's quarterly and annual reports filed with the SEC. These documents provide comprehensive insights into the company's financial health and business operations.

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